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Breaking: 19/09 - EUR/USD slides to test 1.2850 support, GBP/USD threatens to break below 1.6350                     



Scotland says no:    Sept 19th 2014 - 08.35 GMT:    Follow us on Twitter for latest updates:     

In the event, there were no surprises in the Scottish referendum with opinion polls broadly getting the result correct as 'no' won with a 55% vote share. GBP/USD pushed to highs above 1.6520 before correcting lower. Underlying trend still look weaker as the dominant force of a stronger dollar reasserts itself. Underlying political stresses will also continue as the government will have to deal with constitutional issues emanating from the result and promise of fresh Scottish powers. GBP/USD overall remains a solid sell on rallies.

                             Latest daily trading recommendations:    September 19th 2014  (time frame 3-24 hours) Delayed by 2 hours

Currency pair Date Time (GMT) Order type Target entry level Target 1  Target 2 Status

Market comment

EUR/US$ 19-09-14  12.15 Limit order Available to premium subscribers ***** ***** Pending Initial support in a 1.2830-50 band
USD/CHF 19-09-14  12.15 Limit order Stay long from 0.9345 0.9370 0.9440 In play Resistance above 0.9420
AUD/US$ 19-09-14  12.15 Limit order Buy at 0.8925 0.8950 0.8975 Pending Immediate resistance now near 0.9000
US$/CAD 19-09-14  12.15 Limit order Available to premium subscribers ***** ***** Pending Resistance at the 1.1030 area
EUR/CHF 19-09-14  12.15 Limit order Available to premium subscribers ***** ***** Pending Key support below 1.2050
GBP/US$ 19-09-14  12.15 Limit order Available to premium subscribers ***** ***** In play Support on approach to 1.6300
US$/JPY  19-09-14  12.15 Limit order Sell at 109.40 109.15 108.90 Pending Immediate support on dips towards 108.20

Short-term: key level to watch:

EUR/USD: 1.2830

The overall phase had been one of consolidation for EUR/USD as over-sold conditions unwound. There has been fresh selling pressure and drop below 1.2830 would risk fresh slide.

Please see Sterling for full GBP signals and yen for full JPY signals  






Medium-term: key level to watch:

GBP/USD: 1.5950

GBP/USD found support at the 1.6050 area and has moved back to just above 1.6300 as politics still dominate. There is still the threat of a move to at least 1.5950 over the medium term.

Long-term: key level to watch

EUR/USD: 1.2750

EUR/USD has dipped further with lows below 1.2900. Near-term indicators are over-sold with some significant correction realistic, but the long-term potential target is in the 1.2750 area.

Trade of the Month  -  September 15th: - 12.00 GMT

Pending: Sell GBP/USD at 1.6475, target 1.5560 s/l  1.6616

Update: In play with 1.6406 trailing stop


Trade of the week  -  September 11th: - 12.00 GMT

Pending: Sell EUR/USD at 1.2993  target 1.2810, s/l 1.3066

Update: in play with 1.2906 trailing stop













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